U.S. Treasury yields are expected to remain stable over the next three months and decline slightly by year-end due to diminishing expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. After a significant drop from October’s peak of 5.02%, yields have rebounded to 4.44% amid strong economic data and persistent inflation. Financial markets now anticipate only two 25-basis-point rate cuts this year, starting in September, with some economists predicting even fewer cuts. According to a Reuters poll, the 10-year Treasury yield is forecast to be around 4.35% at the end of August, then gradually decrease to 4.23% and 4.13% over the next six and twelve months.
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