‘Trump Trade’ Goes Turbo: Bitcoin & Bullion Hit Record Highs, Tech & TSY Yields Rise

24.10.29

‘Trump Trade’ Goes Turbo: Bitcoin & Bullion Hit Record Highs, Tech & TSY Yields Rise

As the big day gets closer – and despite the catalyst-heavy week ahead – the so-called ‘Trump Trade’ continues to charge higher in stocks, crypto, bond yields, and gold…

The Trump Trade in stocks is roaring…

Source: Bloomberg

The other Trump Trade?

Source: Bloomberg

Gold exploded to a new record high…

Source: Bloomberg

Bitcoin hit a new record high…

Source: Bloomberg

…and if global money supply is anything to go by, Bitcoin could top $100k before this leg is done…

Source: Bloomberg

BTC ETF flows have been enormous in the last two weeks…

Source: Bloomberg

Ethereum has been lagging Bitcoin recently, but based on the cryptocurrency’s historically tight relation to inflation expectations, ETh could be about to leg higher…

Source: Bloomberg

And Treasury yields hit their highest since July 5th this morning before rolling back over…

Source: Bloomberg

Coming back to stocks, the Republican policy basket is dramatically outperforming the Democrat policy basket…

Source: Bloomberg

Mega-Cap tech is outperforming (ahead of GOOGL tonight and more of the MAG7 later in the week)…

Source: Bloomberg

That pushed Nasdaq up 1% on the day as Small Caps and The Dow lagged…

Most Shorted stocks actually had a down day (after three big squeezes higher)…

Source: Bloomberg

The dollar ended the day unchanged but coiled up in a very methodical way during the US session…

Source: Bloomberg

Intraday, Treasury yields ended the day practically unchanged – but not before roller-coastering higher during the European session and lower (yields) during the US session…

Source: Bloomberg

Breakevens are running significantly higher too…

Source: Bloomberg

Oil prices ended lower again – despite a small rebound after yesterday’s bloodbath – with WTI testing a $67 handle…

Source: Bloomberg

With a week to go until the election, we note that pump prices are tumbling… notably – and mysteriously – decoupled from wholesales gasoline and crude prices…

Source: Bloomberg

Finally, USA Sovereign risk remains extremely elevated…

Source: Bloomberg

Is this the ultimate Trump Trade?

Tyler Durden
Tue, 10/29/2024 – 16:00

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