What Is the Permanent Portfolio? Harry Browne’s 25% Gold Allocation Explained
Most advisors cap gold at 5–15% of a portfolio. Harry Browne’s Permanent Portfolio puts it at a full 25%. This piece unpacks why he drew the line there, how the strategy held up in 2008, the 1970s, and 2022, and what the honest case against it looks like.Read More
Two Investors Ran the Debt Math Separately. Both Landed on 15% Gold.
Ray Dalio’s August 21 post cited an $11 trillion debt-service figure behind his call to hold 10-15% of a portfolio in gold. Days later, gold-app CEO David McAlvany independently reached a strikingly similar conclusion — and neither man sizes bitcoin anywhere close to gold.Read More
Gold Nears $4,700, Silver Holds Above $69. Why Is Everyone Waiting on One Friday Speech?
Gold pushed past $4,600 and silver held near $69 as Treasury yields and the dollar fell into Friday’s Warsh Jackson Hole speech. Here’s the mechanism connecting five threads — and what a hawkish, dovish, or neutral surprise could mean for both metals.Read More
Gold Hits 3-Month High as Oil Falls Ahead of Bessent’s Iran Sanctions Announcement
Gold hit a fresh three-month high and silver turned positive today, both ahead of Treasury Secretary Bessent’s 2 PM ET press conference unveiling new Iran sanctions. But oil is falling into the announcement, the opposite of what a “tougher sanctions” headline usually does to markets. Here’s the mechanism actually driving…Read More
Australian Gold Kangaroo: The Bullion Coin Backed by an Act of Parliament
Perth Mint’s flagship bullion coin changes its reverse almost every year, which is the least interesting thing about it. At 99.99% purity with an uncapped mintage, the Australian Gold Kangaroo coin sits behind a guarantee written into Western Australian statute in 1987. Here is what that actually means for what…Read More
Gold’s Speculative Crowd Hit a 60-Week High. Almost Nobody Bought.
Two metals rallied this week on the same headline. Underneath, the last CFTC positioning data, as of August 11, shows opposite structures. Gold’s short book has thinned to 64% of normal. Silver’s is still at 87%. Only one of these prices has a cushion under it.Read More
Gold Hit a Three-Month High. Silver Hit a Two-Month High. One Story Connects Them.
Gold reached its best level since May and silver hit a two-month high, even as US growth data came in hot. Washington spent the week trying to force long-term interest rates down. That attempt failed, and the cost landed on the dollar instead. Five developments explain why both metals climbed.Read More
The National Debt Hit $40 Trillion. Jefferies Just Turned Bullish on Gold.
The national debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18, five months after it crossed $39 trillion. Three days later Jefferies turned bullish on gold and named the fiscal arithmetic, not the Fed, as the reason. Here is the mechanism, and the one number almost nobody is quoting.Read More
Gold and Silver Break Out of Summer Doldrums
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What Is Sound Money? Why the Dollar Lost 87% of Its Value Since 1971
Sound money is money whose supply cannot be expanded by decree, so it holds its purchasing power over time. The principle shaped the 19th-century gold standard. Since that constraint ended in 1971, the dollar has lost roughly 87% of its purchasing power.Read More